Skip to content
Education only · not financial, tax or legal adviceCanadian facts checked 2026-10-31 · a MITEY site
Risk explainer

Stablecoin depeg risk: when one dollar stops being one dollar

Why stablecoin pegs break, from reserve doubts to algorithmic spirals and redemption limits, what a depeg does to your money, and the Canadian rules that apply.

Blue square · intermediate7 min readFacts checked 2026-10-31
Mitey the yeti weighing a coin in each paw, with a token coin
Mitey says: Ask two questions of any stablecoin you hold: what backs it, and could you personally redeem it at par tomorrow.

Trail notes

  • A depeg is when a stablecoin’s market price moves meaningfully away from its target and stays there.
  • Pegs break through reserve doubts, collateral crashes, algorithmic feedback loops, redemption limits and plumbing failures.
  • A fully backed token can still trade below target if you cannot redeem it yourself.
  • In Canada, stablecoins have no CDIC coverage, and as of 2026-10-30 the Stablecoin Act is enacted but not in force.

What a depeg is

A stablecoin is a token designed to hold a steady value, usually one US dollar. A depeg is when its market price drifts meaningfully away from that target and stays there long enough to matter. Small wobbles of a fraction of a cent are normal. A depeg is the moment holders stop believing the token can be swapped back for its full target value.

Stablecoins are often treated as the calm part of a DeFi portfolio: the parking spot between trades, the collateral for loans, the asset in stable pools. That is exactly why a depeg hurts. It hits the money you thought was not at risk.

About this danger rating

We rate stablecoin depeg risk 3 (considerable) on the Mitey risk scale, our editorial teaching scale inspired by avalanche danger ratings: 1 low, 2 moderate, 3 considerable, 4 high, 5 extreme. It is a general teaching guide, not a rating of any particular token, and not advice. Well-run designs depeg less often, but when one does, the damage spreads through every pool and loan that relied on it.

How it happens

Every stablecoin keeps its peg through some kind of promise. Pegs break when that promise is doubted or fails. Our stablecoin types comparison covers the designs in more detail.

  • Reserve doubts (fiat-backed). The issuer says each token is backed by cash and short-term assets. If people question whether the reserves exist, are liquid or are held somewhere safe, they rush to sell or redeem, and the market price drops before any answer arrives.
  • Collateral crashes (crypto-backed). The token is backed by other crypto worth more than the stablecoins issued. If that collateral falls fast enough, liquidations may not keep up and the system can be left under-collateralized.
  • Algorithmic reflexivity. Some designs hold the peg with a second token and a mint-and-burn mechanism rather than full reserves. When confidence falls, the mechanism creates more of the second token, its price drops, confidence falls further, and the loop feeds on itself. The TerraUSD (UST) algorithmic stablecoin lost its peg in May 2022.
  • Redemption limits. Even a well-backed token may be redeemable at par only for approved customers, above a minimum size, during business hours or after a delay. Everyone else has to sell on the market, at whatever price buyers will pay that day.
  • Plumbing failures. A bank holding reserves runs into trouble, a bridge carrying a wrapped version is attacked, or an issuer freezes tokens. Each can push a particular version of a stablecoin away from its target.

Keep the difference between design and market price in mind. A token can be fully backed and still trade below its target for a while if redemption is slow, restricted or paused. Backing tells you what should happen eventually; market price tells you what you can get today.

Stablecoin designsFiat-backedReserves held byan issuerRedeem at parHow it breaksReserve or issuerfailureCrypto-backedOver-collateralizedsmart-contract loansLiquidationsHow it breaksCollateral crashoutruns liquidationAlgorithmicIncentives and asister tokenArbitrage loopHow it breaksConfidence spiral(UST, May 2022)Canada: no CDIC cover · Stablecoin Act not in force (2026-10-30)
Three ways to build a stablecoin, and how each can break. Design determines failure mode. In Canada, no stablecoin is CDIC-insured, and the federal Stablecoin Act was enacted on 2026-03-26 but was not in force as of 2026-10-30.

See the full infographic with notes.

A hypothetical example

Stable pools are a common place to feel a depeg, because the pool keeps trading while one coin slides.

Example: a depeg inside a stable pool
You add $10,000 to a pool holding two stablecoins, A and B, in equal parts: about $5,000 of each.
Stablecoin B loses confidence and trades at $0.85 elsewhere.
Traders sell B into the pool and take out A, because the pool still prices them close to one-for-one.
The pool ends up holding mostly B. Your share is now, say, 1,500 A and 8,000 B.
Valued at market: 1,500 + (8,000 × $0.85) = $8,300. You have lost about $1,700, even though stablecoin A held its peg.

These figures are invented for teaching. Real stable pools use different pricing curves and fees, so outcomes vary. Try your own inputs in the depeg simulator.

Warning signs

  • The market price sits below target for hours or days rather than minutes.
  • Stable pools become lopsided, holding far more of one stablecoin than the other.
  • The issuer delays or changes reserve reports, or the reports become less detailed.
  • Redemptions are paused, slowed or limited to fewer customers.
  • The yield offered on the stablecoin jumps sharply, a sign that someone urgently needs deposits.
  • For algorithmic designs, the supply of the companion token grows quickly.
  • News about a bank, custodian or bridge that the stablecoin depends on.

How to reduce it

  • Know the design. Fiat-backed, crypto-backed and algorithmic tokens fail in different ways. Read how the one you hold is supposed to keep its peg. The stablecoins guide is a good start.
  • Know who can redeem. Find out whether you personally can redeem at par, or whether you would have to sell on the market.
  • Know which version you hold. A bridged or wrapped stablecoin on another network carries bridge risk on top of issuer risk.
  • Avoid concentration. Holding everything in one stablecoin, or in one stable pool, means a single failure reaches all of it.
  • Decide your exit in advance. Choose the price at which you would sell or withdraw before stress arrives. Decisions made in the middle of a depeg are often the expensive ones.
  • Keep emergency money elsewhere. Money you may need on short notice may belong in an insured deposit rather than a token.
Model it first

The stablecoin depeg risk calculator and the stable pool depeg scenario on our sibling site, linked below, show how a given price drop flows through to your balance.

The Canadian angle

Stablecoins are not deposits

CDIC’s “What’s covered” page (checked 2026-10-30) lists cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins, as not covered by deposit insurance. A stablecoin in a wallet or on a platform is not an insured deposit, even when it tracks a dollar.

The Stablecoin Act received Royal Assent on 2026-03-26 as part of Bill C-15. As of 2026-10-30 it is enacted but not in force: the consolidated text, current to 2026-09-30, is marked “Act not in force,” and it takes effect on a day fixed by order. Finance Canada’s framework page (modified 2026-03-31) describes 1:1 reserves of high-quality liquid assets, redemption at par, no interest or yield from issuers, and Bank of Canada supervision, and says the framework is expected to come into force in 2027. Proposed Stablecoin Regulations were published in the Canada Gazette, Part I, on 2026-10-24 for consultation.

Until the Act is in force, those protections are proposed, not current. Separately, the CSA said on 2024-09-26 that after December 31, 2024, crypto trading platforms may only offer stablecoins that meet the terms of their regulatory decisions, and warned that stablecoins do not carry the protections of regulated deposits. Even once the new regime applies, reserve and redemption rules reduce some risks; they do not stop a token’s market price from moving. For tax, CRA treats trading one crypto-asset for another as a disposition, so record the CAD value of every stablecoin swap.

Your checklist

Questions people ask

Are stablecoins covered by CDIC?

No. CDIC’s “What’s covered” page lists cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins, as not eligible for deposit insurance.

Is Canada’s Stablecoin Act in force?

No, not as of 2026-10-30. It received Royal Assent on 2026-03-26, but its consolidated text is marked “Act not in force,” and Finance Canada expects the framework to come into force in 2027.

Can a fully backed stablecoin still depeg?

Yes, its market price can. If redemption is slow, restricted to certain customers or paused, holders who need to exit must sell on the market, where the price can fall below target even when reserves are sound.

What happened to TerraUSD?

The TerraUSD (UST) algorithmic stablecoin lost its peg in May 2022. It is a common teaching example of how a design without full reserves can spiral when confidence falls.

Sources and dates

  • Stablecoins — ethereum.orgreference
    No date shown on page · checked 2026-10-31. Fiat-backed, crypto-backed and algorithmic stablecoin designs.
  • What's covered — Canada Deposit Insurance Corporationin force
    No date shown on page · checked 2026-10-30. Up to $100,000 per category per member institution; cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins, are not covered.
  • Stablecoin Act (S.C. 2026, c. 3, s. 600) — Justice Laws Websiteproposed
    Page date 2026-09-30 · checked 2026-10-30. Enacted but marked 'Act not in force'; comes into force on a day fixed by order.
  • LEGISinfo — Bill C-15, Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1 — Parliament of Canadain force
    Page date 2026-03-26 · checked 2026-10-30. Royal Assent 2026-03-26; enacts the Stablecoin Act.
  • Canada's Stablecoin Framework — Department of Finance Canadaproposed
    Page date 2026-03-31 · checked 2026-10-30. 1:1 high-quality liquid reserves, at-par redemption, no interest/yield, Bank of Canada supervision; expected in force in 2027.
  • Stablecoins — regulatory oversight — Bank of Canadareference
    No date shown on page · checked 2026-10-30. The Bank administers the fiat-backed stablecoin framework and supervises issuers.
  • Proposed Stablecoin Regulations — Canada Gazette, Part I, Vol. 160, No. 43 — Canada Gazetteproposed
    Page date 2026-10-24 · checked 2026-10-30. Proposed regulations under the Stablecoin Act, published for consultation.
  • CSA update to crypto asset trading platforms about value-referenced crypto assets — Canadian Securities Administratorsin force
    Page date 2024-09-26 · checked 2026-10-30. After December 31, 2024, platforms may only offer stablecoins that meet their decision terms; stablecoins lack deposit protections.
  • Reporting income from crypto-asset transactions — Canada Revenue Agencyin force
    Page date 2025-12-02 · checked 2026-10-30. Business income vs capital gains is case by case; lists business indicators; crypto-to-crypto trades are dispositions; half of a capital gain is taxable.

Education only. Nothing on this page is financial, investment, tax or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, stake, lend or borrow any crypto-asset. Crypto-assets can lose some or all of their value and are not covered by CDIC. Canadian rules change: check the dated sources above and talk to a qualified professional about your situation. Full disclaimer.